The U.S. Senate is comprised of some of the most politically powerful people in America. Not only do Senators have the ability to make laws, they have the authority to ratify treaties, block nominees for Federal judgeships, and can even impeach the Chief Executive. These 100 men and women have an astonishing degree of influence, prestige, and political potency. So why can they not get elected President?
In the past sixty years, there have been fourteen Presidential elections:
Eight races included at least one Senator while only two (Truman and Kennedy) have won.No Senator has won an election in the past forty years (10 elections). Former governors have won six of the past seven elections. Former Congressmen have won the election four times, a retired Army General twice. The last Republican Senator to win the Whitehouse was Warren G. Harding in 1920.*
Whether this data is representative of a particular bias against Senators or just an amusing piece of trivia is beyond my ability to discern. I think there is some significance, though, in the statistic that former governors are more likely than any other type of elected official (including vice-presidents) to advance to the Oval Office. Moving from executive branch to executive branch has to be easier than attempting to make the direct transition from the legislature or judiciary (oddly enough, no judge -- at least in this century -- has been a candidate for the Presidency).
If I knew nothing else about the 2004 election other than the fact that one candidate was a former governor and one a Senator, I would put my money on the governor winning the race. Judging from past election results, Kerry has his work cut out for him. He can, at least, take comfort in knowing that the last three Senator to become President were all Democrats. Perhaps, if that information had been pointed out to Bob Dole he would have been spared years of frustrating losses.
*Correction: I had mistakenly claimed that Calvin Coolidge had been the last Republican Senator elected president. Coolidge, however, was only a state senator and had previously been a governor. Thanks to Marty Keller for the correction.
