No current Iraq war conspiracy theory can be complete without a reference to Leo Strauss. Even before the war began, there were attempts to connect the Bush Administrations 'neoconservative" foreign policy to the writings of the obscure political philosopher from the University of Chicago. The connection between Strauss, who died over 30 years, and the administration is laughably tenuous yet is espoused everywhere from New York theaters to the the House of Representatives.
Critics of the war who are looking to establish a literary connection, however, dont have to resort to such odd theories. In fact, they dont have to look any further than Kenneth Pollack. As the former Iran-Iraq military analyst for the CIA, and the director of Persian Gulf Affairs and Near East and South Asian Affairs for the National Security Council under Bill Clinton, Pollack has both the experience and credentials to make liberals take notice. When his book, The Threatening Storm: The Case for Invading Iraq, debuted in 2002 it caused quite a splash among fence-sitters who were unwilling to accept the Republicans case for war. The New York Times claimed that Pollacks, 'argument for invading Iraq is surely the most influential book of this season, has provided intellectual cover for every liberal who finds himself inclining toward war but uneasy about Mr. Bush." According to The New Yorker, Pollacks 'comprehensive and convincing" case for war was presented, 'More effectively than Dick Cheney or Paul Wolfowitz or any other of the hawkish big thinkers in the Administration "
So where are Pollacks critics now? Where are the anti-war protestors decrying that 'Pollack lied!" and that he duped the 'chickenhawks" into accepting that the war was necessary? We might also ask, 'Where is Pollack now?"
Hes still around. He continues to support his claims though he is, to some degree, backpedaling. Oddly his change of heart has less to do with the need to overthrow Saddam (which Pollack considered an inevitable necessity) than with the timing. His thoughts on WMDs, however, should be kept in mind by the Bush Administrations critics. In a interview with The Atlantic Monthly (Dec. 30, 2003), Pollack made clear that Bush is not the only one who believed that Iraq had WMDs:
[The Atlantic] You too were a believer in the idea that Saddam had weapons of mass destruction. How did that happen and on what evidence did you come to that conclusion?
My evidence came straight from the intelligence community. I was certainly not alone in thisthis was a consensus among the U.S. government, it was a consensus among the UN inspectors, it was a consensus of American experts outside the U.S. government. In fact, it was a consensus in the entire international community.
It's important to remember that any intelligence service or country with the ability to monitor Iraq and its weapons programsGermany, France, Britain, Russia, Israelwas a hundred percent certain that Saddam had these programs. There may have been some debate over just how aggressive they were or how far along they were. The Germans were the most alarmist of all on the subject of a nuclear weapon. They thought the Iraqis might have one in as little as two or three years. Our own intelligence community tended to be a little more conservative; they thought it was more like four to six years awayor five to seven. But no one doubted that Saddam had these weapons.
... So there would have been very few, if any, people, who ever posited, even as a hypothetical, that Iraq didn't have any imminent WMD programs?
I can't think of anyone who did not believe that the Iraqis had a weapons of mass destruction program. There was simply no one.
Perception, however, becomes reality. As P.T. Barnum said, 'Theres a sucker born every minute" and the 'Bush lied about WMDs" meme has spawned enough rubes to fill the tents of a three ring circus. But the next time someone spouts such nonsense ask them to point out who believed, prior to the invasion, that Iraq didnt have those weapons.
Whether Pollack is correct in his assesment that the war could have been put off a few more years is debatable. One thing, however, remains certain. An invasion of the country and overthrow of Saddam was inevitable, a matter of 'when' rather than 'if." The case for war could have been made without Pollacks book but there would have been fewer 'chickenhawks" along for the ride. Now that these same people are becoming less hawk and more chicken they need to answer for why they havent turned on the author who helped launch the war.
1
Pollack was one of the guys who addressed the "Fooling of the West," after Kay's testimony to Congress.
Apparently that absolves him.
posted on 03.22.2004 12:50 PM2
You needn't go to such obscure lengths to paint the Iraq war as a long-standing neoconservative policy plan. The neo-cons said it themselves. (Specifically here and here and here.
posted on 03.22.2004 2:47 PM3
T.,
Thanks for pointing that out. I see my fellow neocons were rather prophetic. Glad to see that someone finally listened to them.
But we still have to connect the dots to Strauss...
posted on 03.22.2004 3:10 PM4
hey there
let me be nice first, and say i quite like your site. ok, formalities over and gloves off ;)
What Pollack wrote, and you seem to believe, that "there was simply no one" who believed Iraq did not have WMD's is simply not the truth.
Here in the UK a member of our cabinet, and the former Foreign Minister resigned. To quote from his resignation speech (full text here: http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/uk_news/politics/2859431.stm) about the years leading up the invasion of Iraq:
QUOTE